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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 07 October 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2015 and more specifically during the summer season has been rather remarkable. 421 v ...
Wednesday, 07 October 15
INDONESIA COAL SWAPS HAVE CONTINUED TO DECLINE, FALLING ALMOST 7% M-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 2.23 (-5.51%) per t ...
Tuesday, 06 October 15
THE IMPACT OF LOW OIL PRICE ON THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY - LITERATED
The fall in global oil prices over the last one year has been beneficial to the shipping industry. The demand for oil tankers has picked up and the ...
Tuesday, 06 October 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS PLUNGE MORE THAN 6 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The Q4 swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 05 October 15
Q1 & Q2 2016 DELIVERY SWAPS DECLINED M-M AND W-W THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $0.36 per ton (0.85%) month over month to US$ 42.12 per ton. The ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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