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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 12 October 15
BDI WEIGHED DOWN BY CAPE
COALspot.com: The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) has come back down again this week. The BDI is a benchmark index used to assess the overall cost of moving ...
Sunday, 11 October 15
TANKER SHIPPING: MORE OPTIMISM IN SIGHT FOR TANKERS IN THE WINTER SEASON - BIMCO
Demand:
2015 has been the year of the tanker. The fundamental improvements with slow supply-side growth for some years coupled with low oil pri ...
Friday, 09 October 15
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 1.2 PERCENT TO 17.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.7 million shor ...
Thursday, 08 October 15
CAPESIZE: MOST PEOPLE AGREE A SPIKE IN RATES WILL HAPPEN; WHEN, HOW LONG AND HOW SUBSTANTIAL? - FEARNLEYS
Cape
Depressives start of the fourth quarter, with c3 approaching USD 12 pmt and c5 presently in the mind 5's. According to Fearnleys ship br ...
Wednesday, 07 October 15
U.S. COAL EXPORTS FOR THE FIRST SEVEN MONTHS DOWN 21 PER CENT COMPARED WITH THE SAME PERIOD IN 2014 - EIA
Coal Supply
Lower U.S.’s domestic coal consumption and reduced exports contribute to a forecast decline of 89 million short tons (M ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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