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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 15 October 15
Q1' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ADVANCED 2 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 gain week over week and declined month over month.
The Q4 swap was dow ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING FLEET NET EXPANSION WAS 1.3% DURING THIRD QUARTER, BUT ORDERBOOK REDUCED TO 17% OF THE TRADING FLEET
If the dry bulk market is to rebound on a sustainable level, it needs to limit the tonnage expansion, at least until demand picks up again, as Chin ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINED 2 PER CENT MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $0.46 per ton (1.08%) month over month to US$ 42.17 per ton. The ...
Monday, 12 October 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAIN W-W; SLIGHTLY DOWN M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down just US cents 3 (0.06 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 12 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING: MARKETS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING FROM A VERY LOW LEVEL AS THE DEMAND SIDE FALTERS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is in the midst of a shift in demand patterns, which coupled with a tonnage supply overhang, has been facing headwinds over the ...
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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