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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 16 October 15
MAJOR REVISION OF NYPE TIME CHAPTER PARTY - BIMCO
Major revision of NYPE time charter party promises to be both balanced and comprehensive
BIMCO has today jointly issued the first revision of ...
Friday, 16 October 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q4'15 DELIVERY FLAT WEEK OVER WEEK; DOWN 5.5 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and flat week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 2.23 (-5.51%) ...
Friday, 16 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES DECREASED THIS WEEK; DOWN 11.3 PER CENT Y-Y, DOWN 3.5 PERCENT W-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.1 million shor ...
Friday, 16 October 15
INDONESIA REJOINING OPEC DESPITE BEING A NET IMPORTER OF PETROLEUM - EIA
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) notified Indonesia that it plans to accept the country's request to reactivate its ...
Thursday, 15 October 15
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALLS FOR SEVEN STRAIGHT MONTH IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia once a again revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price this month.
The ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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