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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 20 October 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED NEGATIVE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $1.23 per ton (2.86%) month over month to US$ 41.80 per ton. The ...
Monday, 19 October 15
RUSSIA MAJOR COAL MINER KRU CUTS 4.5 MLN T/YR "UNPROFITABLE" EURO SALES - JACQUELINE HOLMES
COALspot.com: Kuzbassrazrezugol (KRU), one of Russia's largest producers of high-quality coal, plans to cut its coal exports in 2016 by about 4 ...
Monday, 19 October 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $48.68 PER TON
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down just US cents 55 (1.12 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 19 October 15
KOMIPO SEEKS 1.28 MILLION T/Y COAL FOR DEC 2015 - Q2 2016
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 1,280,000 Metric Tons (MT) of minimum 4,600 kc ...
Sunday, 18 October 15
THE BDI AND OTHER INDICES CLOSED OFF ON NEGATIVE NOTE THIS FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The BDI closed off on negative note this Friday compared to previous Friday's closing.
The BDI closed this Friday (16 Octobe ...
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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