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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 09 September 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED SLIGHTLY TO 16.1 MMST, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.1 million short ton ...
Friday, 09 September 16
CAPESIZE: THE SENTIMENT IS SOLID, SAYS FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A quiet start with Labour Day celebrations in the United States leading to very little being reported from the Atlantic basin. Supramaxe ...
Thursday, 08 September 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS IN JUNE 2016 UP 29% COMPARED TO MAY 2016, SAYS EIA
U.S. coal production in August was 71 million short tons (MMst), which is 6 MMst (9%) higher than in the previous month and 12 MMst (14%) lower tha ...
Wednesday, 07 September 16
WEEKLY MARKET (TANKER) REPORT - INTERMODAL
What goes around comes around! The Shipping industry is infamous for its seasonality and cyclicality and the tanker sector is no exception to these ...
Tuesday, 06 September 16
INDO GOVT. SETS SEPTEMBER COAL REFERENCE PRICE AT US$ 63.93 PER TON; JUMP 20.17% YTD
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price hits to its highest level since April 2015. The government declared benchmark prices f ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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