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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 19 September 16
AFTER YEARS OF COMA, COAL BECOMES THE MOST ATTRACTIVE COMMODITY RIGHT NOW
COALspot.com: China boosted coal imports in recent months. The Chinese government’s drive to cut over capacity pushed up the demand for therm ...
Monday, 19 September 16
THE CAPE INDEX WAS UP 7.28% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities declined and ending in a slightly negative note this past ...
Friday, 16 September 16
GLOBAL SHIPBUILDING: THE CHALLENGE TO REMAIN 'ACTIVE' - CHRISTOPHER PEARCE, CLARKSONS
The number of ‘active’ shipyards globally has more than halved since the start of 2009, falling to around 400 shipyards at the start of ...
Friday, 16 September 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED 6.2% TO 15.1 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.1 million short ton ...
Thursday, 15 September 16
INDONESIA MAY FACE A COAL CRISIS BY 2035!
COALspot.com: Indonesia is the world’s fourth-largest coal producer and the world’s largest thermal coal exporter may face a coal crisi ...
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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