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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 15 September 16
CAPESIZE: LAST WEEK ENDED ON A VERY STRONG NOTE MAINLY DRIVEN BY A ACTIVE BRAZIL MARKET - FEARNLYS
Supramax
With holidays in the eastern hemisphere beginning this week, the sentiment and activity level has been decreasing.
In the Pacific, ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET REACHED LEVELS LAST SEEN BACK IN 2015 - INTERMODAL
In an earlier column we commented that we are undergoing “shipping’s new (ab)normal” with constrained financing, shift in demand ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 12.48 MMT OF COAL IN AUGUST; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE WAS $AU 83.33
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU $1,040.4 ...
Tuesday, 13 September 16
CAPESIZE: BIG STRENGTH SEEN IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize - Big strength seen in the market this week, with an upbeat in sentiment amongst owners helping pull up rates fairly quickly and many hold ...
Monday, 12 September 16
THE CAPE MARKET HAS GAINS ON WEEK; THE CAPE INDEX SETTLING AT 1566 POINTS ON FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week. The BD ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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