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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 06 September 16
CAPESIZE: THE PACIFIC BASIN WAS THE MAIN REGION KEEPING UP WITH THE POSITIVE SUPPORT - ALLIED
Capesize
Despite some mixed feelings being seen early on in the week, we managed to see a positive week-on-week close on Friday with some positiv ...
Monday, 05 September 16
INDIA BECAME ADARO'S SECOND LARGEST MARKET IN 1H' 16
COALspot.com: The Wara Balangan blend product has been well received by customers in China and India - AI
In the second quarter of 2 ...
Monday, 05 September 16
POOR FREIGHT RATES DESPITE STRONG DEMAND GROWTH FROM CHINA - BIMCO
Demand
The dry bulk commodity imports into and exports out of China we have seen in the first half of 2016 are very positive – and nothing ...
Monday, 05 September 16
FREIGHT RATE FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week except ...
Friday, 02 September 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 19 MMST IN 2016 TO 55 MMST
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.3 million sho ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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