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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 September 16
SUPRAMAX GETTING LEVELS OF MID/HIGHER 7K DELIVERY SINGAPORE FOR TRIPS TO CHINA AND AROUND 9K FOR DIRECTION INDIA - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
This week started slower with London on bank holiday Monday. The south east Asian market seems to have been taking a breather with chart ...
Thursday, 01 September 16
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.33 PERCENT MORE COAL IN JULY
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1.10 bill ...
Wednesday, 31 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET MANAGED TO FIND FURTHER SUPPORT DURING THE LAST DAYS OF THE SUMMER SEASON - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market managed to find further support during the last days of the summer season, with the BDI climbing above 700 last Friday, reachin ...
Tuesday, 30 August 16
THE SUDDEN SURGE IN IRON ORE TRADE HAS CREPT UP ON THE MARKET THIS PAST WEEK - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The sudden surge in Iron ore trade has crept up on the market this past week bringing about a change in the prospects for Capes. Continued increase ...
Monday, 29 August 16
THE 5000 GAR THERMAL COAL INDEX HAS STRENGTHENED BY 9.90% SINCE JANUARY
COALspot.com: A rally in thermal coal prices over the past few months, after years of decline, is still continuing upward and it is expected to ral ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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