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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 07 December 16
IT'S BEEN YET ANOTHER TURBULENT COUPLE OF DAYS..... - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It’s been yet another turbulent couple of days, with a significant number of news headlines shaking up markets.
On Friday we had & ...
Monday, 05 December 16
INDIAN HYDROPOWER PRODUCTION AT LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2012, SAYS COMMODORE RESEARCH
According to Commodore Research, the first eleven months of this year have seen India’s overall electricity production total approximately 1. ...
Monday, 05 December 16
THE DECEMBER 2016 HBA HITS TO ITS HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE MAY 2012
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price hits to its highest level since May 2012. The government declared benchmark prices for Indo ...
Monday, 05 December 16
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX UP 5.98%; BALTIC CAPE INDEX FELL 2.52% W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rally slightly continues this past week and ending on a s ...
Sunday, 04 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED 11.9% W/E 26 NOV; UP 1.4% Y/Y, EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.2 million short ton ...
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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