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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 14 December 16
20/20 VISION! - JOHN N. COTZIAS
2020; A year that could be changing shipping. In early November, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) announced that it would set a 0.5% s ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET MAY WELL BE SHOWING SIGNS OF HEADING FOR ITS DOWNWARD CORRECTIVE PHASE - ALLIED
2016 has been a tough market for dry bulkers and through these difficult earnings, we have seen some of the lowest prices being noted historically ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
COAL DEMAND GROWTH TO STALL AS APPETITE WANES, ACCORDING TO IEA
Growth in global coal demand will stall over the next five years as the appetite for the fuel wanes and other energy sources gain ground, according ...
Monday, 12 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 16.3 MMST, UP 7.4% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.3 million short ton ...
Monday, 12 December 16
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this past week and ending on a negative note week ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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