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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 December 16
OIL PRICES MAY SEE LITTLE GROWTH BEFORE 2018, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
High inventories and the potential for US shale production to respond quickly to any market tightening mean oil prices may flat line in 2017 before ...
Thursday, 01 December 16
CHINA 2017 OIL, GAS OUTPUT DROP MAY WORSEN ON CAPEX CUT: FITCH
China's oil and gas production may shrink even more in 2017 than in 2016 after the country's leading oil companies cut exploration and prod ...
Thursday, 01 December 16
ANOTHER WONDERFUL WEEK FOR PANAMAX - FEARNLEY
Supramax
A slower start to the week in the Pacific compared to last Trips from N. China to S. China is paying in the range of low USD 5k, while I ...
Tuesday, 29 November 16
AUSTRALIA'S PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.08 MT OF COAL IN OCTOBER; DOWN 10.39% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU1,124.7 Mi ...
Tuesday, 29 November 16
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT TOTALS 17.2 MMST, UP 2.8% : EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 17.2 million short ton ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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