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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 08 December 16
STABLE OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL MINING IN 2017 : FITCH
Fitch Ratings' sector and rating outlooks for the global mining industry in 2017 are both stable, reflecting Fitch's view that prices have ...
Thursday, 08 December 16
CHINESE COAL DEMAND WOULD BE THE KEY FACTOR THAT INFLUENCE WORLD COAL PRICES IN 2017, POLL
“WHAT ARE THE KEY FACTORS THAT MAY INFLUENCE WORLD'S COAL PRICES IN 2017?”
The on-line opinion poll conducted by COALspot.com ...
Thursday, 08 December 16
PANAMAX: THE FIRM TENDENCY CONTINUES IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Market remained firm - true mostly within Atlantic.
Star performer USG remained its title, where Supras reached around USD 21k ...
Wednesday, 07 December 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODOROS NTALAKOS
Looking back at my previous end-of-year insights, for the last seven years, in each and every one of them, I begin with something like “there ...
Wednesday, 07 December 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BY 2% IN 2017 - EIA
U.S. Coal production in November 2016 was 70.7 million short tons (MMst), the third time this year monthly production exceeded 70 MMst, says EIA.
...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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