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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 28 November 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX FALLS TO 1181 POINT, DOWN 76 POINTS W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities down slightly and ending in a negative note this past wee ...
Thursday, 24 November 16
SUPRAMAX: SOUTH AFRICA STILL STRONG WITH OWNERS ACHIEVING AROUND USD 14-15K FOR TRIPS EAST - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A positive kick-off in both the Atlantic and the Pacific. Very healthy rates within USG, some supras receiving well over 20k for trips t ...
Wednesday, 23 November 16
MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER THOMAS WHITTY
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is due to finalize a reduction in total production at its next scheduled meeting in Vi ...
Tuesday, 22 November 16
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS EXPECTED TO DECLINE 7% Y/Y TO 15 MILLION TONS IN 2017 - ITALIAN COAL ASSOCIATION
Italy’s steam coal imports expected to decline to 15 million tons in 2017, or 7% less imports compared to 2016. The coking coal imports are e ...
Tuesday, 22 November 16
THE COMMODITIES MARKETS HAD SHOWED GREATER PROMISE SINCE THE SUMMER PERIOD - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
We have all borne witness to the sluggish pace of trade growth witnessed during the course of the past 4 years as well as the even slower pace note ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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