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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 20 December 16
TURNAROUND IN CHINESE ECONOMY HAS INTENSIFIED RECENTLY, SAYS COMMODORE RESEARCH
According to the most recent Weekly China Report published by Commodore Research, it has remained encouraging that the turnaround in China’s ...
Monday, 19 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DOWN 3.1% PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.8 million short ton ...
Monday, 19 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS CONTINUING TO SOFTEN
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continually decline this past week and ending on a negati ...
Thursday, 15 December 16
SUPRAMAXES ARE ACHIEVING AROUND HIGH USD 7K FOR INDO/CHINA COAL ROUNDS - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Pacific has been relatively quiet this week, with some softening signs.
Supramaxes are achieving around high USD 7k for Indo/China ...
Wednesday, 14 December 16
INTERNATIONAL TRIBUNAL DISMISSED CHURCHILL MINING'S DAMAGES CLAIM AGAINST REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
The Directors of Churchill Mining plc advise that, the ICSID Tribunal (“Tribunal”) granted Indonesia’s application to dismiss the ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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