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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 23 December 16
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 711.1 MMST; DOWN 18.5% Y/Y - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 22 December 16
INDONESIA LACK OF EXPORT TO INDIA THIS WEEK - FERNLEYS
Supramax
While the Atlantic is keeping up with rates, the Pacific has been weaker says Astrup Fernley.
According to Astrup Fernley, backhaul ...
Wednesday, 21 December 16
THE SUPREME COURT DECISION IN OW BUNKERS - WHEN A SALE OF GOODS IS NOT A SALE OF GOODS - LEON ALEXANDER, CLYDE&CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In May 2016 the Supreme Court of England & Wales gave judgment in an OW Bunkers test case entitled "Res Cogitans ...
Wednesday, 21 December 16
CLEANING THE OCEANS FROM PLASTIC - SOPHIE COTZIAS
2016 is coming to a close and it finds us in preparation for the 2017 enforcement of the Ballast Water Treatment Systems. We naturally are in thoug ...
Tuesday, 20 December 16
TRADE HAS FELT ITS BUMPS AND SHAKES THIS YEAR - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Trade has felt its bumps and shakes this year, as growing populist protectionist and nationalist movements in the Western world start to take hold. ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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