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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 December 16
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 15.2 MMST, DOWN 3.1% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.2 million sho ...
Thursday, 29 December 16
CHINA AIMS TO CAP COAL-FIRED POWER CAPACITY AT 1,100 GIGAWATTS BY THE END OF 2020 - REUTERS
China aims to cap total primary energy consumption at around 4.4 billion tonnes of coal equivalent in 2017, the director of the National Energy Adm ...
Wednesday, 28 December 16
FINANCIAL MARKETS AND COMMODITY MARKETS HAVE ALREADY SHOWED CONSIDERABLE IMPROVEMENT AND RENEWED OPTIMISM - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
As 2016 nears to a close many will be breathing a heavy sigh of relief, having made it through one of the toughest years in this century and lookin ...
Wednesday, 28 December 16
BUMA SIGNED APPROXIMATELY US$ 493 MILLION WORTH OF MINING SERVICES CONTRACTS WITH PT ADARO INDONESIA AND PT ANGSANA JAYA ENERGY
COALspot.com: PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. Has announced that its primary operating subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA") has ...
Monday, 26 December 16
DO THE DERIVATIVES MARKETS MAKE COAL PRICES MORE VOLATILE? 59.21% SAY YES, POLL
COALspot.com: The substantial increase or decrease in coal prices within a short period of time has been supported by a number of fundamental drive ...
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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