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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 January 17
CAPE MARKET HAVE KEPT SURPRISINGLY FIRM AND ACTIVE DURING THE CHRISTMAS AND NEW YEAR HOLIDAYS - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
The first week after a slow Christmas break has started off with little activity and softening rates. Not surprisingly, the market is fi ...
Thursday, 05 January 17
COMPARISON OF HONG KONG AND LONDON ARBITRATION - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Whilst London arbitration is the most popular platform for resolution of charterparty disputes, where the parties involved a ...
Wednesday, 04 January 17
INDONESIA'S COAL PRODUCTION IS ESTIMATED TO REACH 434 MILLION TONS IN 2016 EXCEEDED THE GOVERNMENT'S INITIAL TARGET
Indonesia's coal production is estimated to reach 434 million tons in 2016 exceeded the government's initial target. The Ministry of Energy ...
Tuesday, 03 January 17
BENGKULU TO IMPOSE TOUGHER REGULATION FOR UNPROCESSED COAL AND MINERALS EXPORTS IN 2017 - MEDIA
Bengkulu provincial government is planning to impose tougher regulation for export of coal and mineral in 2017. According to liputan6 online portal ...
Monday, 02 January 17
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.62 MMT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER; UP 4.18% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,201 Mil ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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