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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 09 January 17
FFA SUPRAMAX: Q1 AND Q2 TRADING UP TO $7100 WHILE CAL17 PRINTED $7250 - FIS
Capesize
Sentiment has swung quickly on capes and although there appears to be a very short list for open tonnage in the Atlantic Feb dates appea ...
Monday, 09 January 17
COAL MARKETS WERE UNEXPECTEDLY ONE OF THE STRONGEST PERFORMERS OF 2016 - SGX
COALspot.com: Coal markets were unexpectedly one of the strongest performers of 2016, with domestic production restrictions in China as well as sup ...
Monday, 09 January 17
THE INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE SLIDES AFTER THE RECENT RALLY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price slides in January 2017 after the recent rally. The government declared benchmark prices for Indone ...
Friday, 06 January 17
U.S. WEEKLY ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 12.4 MMST; DOWN 18.4% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 12.4 million short ton ...
Thursday, 05 January 17
UNCHANGED COAL-FIRED TARIFFS PRESSURE CHINA'S GENERATORS - FITCH
COALspot.com: China's decision to keep on-grid electricity prices from coal-fired power unchanged amid higher coal prices will further squeeze ...
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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