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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL PRICES TO INCREASE IN 2017 AND IN 2018 - EIA
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 158 million short tons (MMst) (18%) in 2016, to 739 MMst, which would be the lowe ...
Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL IMPORTS IN THIRD QUARTER 2016 TOTALED 2.7 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 12 January 17
ASIA: COAL'S FUTURE - BENJAMIN SPORTON
As economies develop and the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are realised, demand for energy will increase as more peopl ...
Wednesday, 11 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE DERMATIS
A new year has dawned upon us and it sure promises to be an exciting one which makes it practically impossible to resist the challenge of making a ...
Tuesday, 10 January 17
SHIPPING MARKET 2017
After having entered into a New Year, fresh hopes seem to be high for this to be the turning point in the market that many have been looking forwar ...
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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