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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 April 18
INDONESIA TO POSTPONE NEW COAL, PALM OIL SHIPPING RULES TO 2020 - REUTERS
Indonesia will delay until 2020 trade rules requiring exporters of coal and crude palm oil to use only Indonesian-flagged vessels, government offic ...
Tuesday, 03 April 18
MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
In the midst of a relatively quiet week for markets, with disruptions being caused by the Christian holidays, it seems as though we find ourselves ...
Monday, 02 April 18
THE FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT, SAYS VISTAAR
The freight market softening to continue. Thursday, March 29, 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 42 points, reaching 1080 points.
T ...
Monday, 02 April 18
THIESS TO DELIVER $150M SENAKIN CONTRACT EXTENSION
Thiess has secured a $150 million contract extension to provide mine services at Arutmin’s Senakin coal mine in South Kalimantan, Indonesia.
...
Monday, 02 April 18
THIESS SECURES $240M SATUI EXTENSION
The successful implementation of an innovative mining plan by Thiess at the Satui coal mine in South Kalimantan, has resulted in a $240 million con ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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