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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 March 18
SHIPPING INDUSTRY CONFIDENCE HITS FOUR-YEAR HIGH - MOORE STEPHENS
Shipping Confidence Survey
In February 2018, the average confidence level expressed by respondents was up from 6.2 in November 2017 t ...
Friday, 30 March 18
EXPLAINING POLAND'S COAL PARADOX - FORBES
In the U.S. coal is succumbing to market forces despite the Trump Administration’s push to support the industry. Abundant, cheap and cleaner ...
Friday, 30 March 18
THIESS SECURES $140M MT OWEN INCREASE
Thiess has secured a A$140 million increase to its contract with Glencore for coal mining services at Mt Owen in the Hunter Valley, Australia. Mt O ...
Wednesday, 28 March 18
THIESS WINS $280M WAHANA EXTENSION
Thiess has been awarded a three-year $280 million contract extension at the Wahana coal mine in South Kalimantan, Indonesia.
According to Thie ...
Wednesday, 28 March 18
RIO TINTO TO SELL KESTREL MINE FOR $2.25 BILLION - REUTERS
Rio Tinto sold its remaining coal asset Kestrel in Australia to private equity manager EMR Capital and Indonesia’s Adaro Energy Tbk for $2.25 ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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