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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 27 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GERRY LATHROP
With the almost complete phase out of Tier II new-building slots on our door step, along with the plethora of emissions related articles seemingly ...
Friday, 23 March 18
RIO TINTO AGREES SALE OF HAIL CREEK AND VALERIA TO GLENCORE FOR $1.7 BILLION
Press Release: Rio Tinto has entered into a binding agreement with Glencore for the sale of its entire interests in the Hail Creek coal mine and th ...
Wednesday, 21 March 18
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT UP IN 2017, FIRST GROWTH SINCE 2014 - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose in 2017 due to rebounding demand and high-quality capacity, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...
Wednesday, 21 March 18
MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
President’s Trump administration proposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports in an attempt to target China and Europe among others. Earlie ...
Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of se ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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