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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 16 April 18
MINISTER IGNASIUS JONAN SPEAKS HIS MIND AT INDONESIA MINER - IAN WOLLFF
The Minister for Energy and Mineral resources, Ignasius Jonan, delivered a key note address at the Indonesia Miner conference in Jakarta on the 11 ...
Thursday, 12 April 18
THE PERFECT STORM FOR THE BIG SHIPS - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The perfect storm for the big ships: with holidays, force majeure in two ore exporting ports and bad weather undermining the market. A l ...
Thursday, 12 April 18
SHIPPING CAN MANAGE US-CHINA TARIFFS, BUT RISKS RISING - FITCH
Container and, to some extent, dry bulk would probably be the shipping segments most affected by the recently announced US and China tariffs, Fitch ...
Thursday, 12 April 18
SUPRAS HAVE FIXED MID $11K FOR AN INDO RV TO S. CHINA DELIVERY PHILIPPINES - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Slow week with little light for improving rates. ECSA to Far East still around $15k + bb and same to Med ca $14k, says Fearnleys in its ...
Thursday, 12 April 18
ALWAYS ACCESSIBLE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 26 March 2018 Mr Justice Knowles determined that the berth warranty ‘always accessible’ must mean the vess ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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