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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 April 18
CHINA UTILITIES PLAN NEW COAL IMPORT PRICE INDEX TO CURB VOLATILITY - REUTERS
China’s major utilities are preparing to launch their own coal price index for imports, an official at China Huaneng Group said, in a move th ...
Wednesday, 11 April 18
US-CHINA TARIFF THREATS RAISE GLOBAL TRADE RISKS - FITCH
Escalating tariff proposals by the U.S. and Chinese governments are increasing the risks of a full-blown trade war, says Fitch Ratings. The most li ...
Tuesday, 10 April 18
BUMA GRANTED ADDITIONAL LOAN FACILITY FROM BTMU TO SUPPORT GROWTH
Press Release: PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. is pleased to announce that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA"), signed an a ...
Monday, 09 April 18
APRIL INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE DROPS TO LOWEST IN 2018
COALspot.com: According to latest ministerial decree, the Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) decline 6.98 per cent in April 2018 compared to Mar ...
Friday, 06 April 18
TOP MINER BHP QUITS WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION OVER CLIMATE CLASH - BLOOMBERG
BHP Billiton Ltd. has severed ties with the World Coal Association over a clash of views on how to combat climate change, with the mining giant say ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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