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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 21 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
Halfway through the fourth and last quarter of the year, we spot a significant change in freight rates for tankers trading dirty, as well as on the ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
FREIGHT RATES IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET HAVE ALREADY PICKED UP OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS - YIANNIS VAMVAKAS
Current geopolitical developments between Iran and the US, which have led the latter to re-impose its sanctions, have significantly affected oil pr ...
Tuesday, 20 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY AND RESOURCES LEADS A$249M BID FOR AUSTRALIA-LISTED STANMORE COAL - THE STRAITS TIMES
Singapore-listed Golden Energy and Resources (GEAR) is leading deals worth up to A$249 million (S$250 million) to acquire Australia-listed Stanmore ...
Monday, 19 November 18
INDONESIA'S LEADING EIGHT COAL MINER'S COAL MINING CONTRACTS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPIRE BETWEEN YEAR 2019 - 2025
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) said, eight Coal Contract of Works (CCoW) will expected to expire between 2019 to 2026, Liputan ...
Monday, 19 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE BSI CONTINUED TO FALL LAST WEEK, ESPECIALLY THE ASIAN ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
After a cut throat couple of weeks, the market finally appeared to have found a floor and rates ticked up. Those analysts that predict ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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