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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 November 18
GOVT MULLS REQUIRING MINERS TO TURN COAL INTO GAS - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is considering requiring all coal miners to turn the raw commodity into dimethylether (DME) as a substitute for liquefied petroleum ...
Friday, 30 November 18
SUPRAMAX: N. CHINA TO INDIA OR SE ASIA SUPRAS ARE GETTING PAID AROUND US$ 6000 - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Sharp rise in spot activity and income, admittedly from very low levels, for the big ships. West Australia/China and Brazil/Far East b ...
Thursday, 29 November 18
NEW IMSBC CODE REQUIREMENTS AIM TO CONTROL LIQUEFACTION OF COAL CARGOES - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The International Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes (IMSBC) Code describes coal as a natural, solid, combustible material consi ...
Wednesday, 28 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE LAIOS
Last week I had the privilege to attend the SingularityU Greece Summit, in Athens. It was a privilege because you do not often have the chance to s ...
Tuesday, 27 November 18
PANAMAX AND SUPRAMAX INDICES WITNESSED A DECLINE OF JUST BELOW 14% IN THEIR MEAN ON A MONTH-ON-MONTH COMPARISON - ALLIED SHIPPING
A month of sharp corrections and great asymmetries for the dry bulk sector, with the overall overview of the market shipping rapidly from a state o ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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