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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 26 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN MARKET STALLED THIS WEEK WITH A BUILD-UP OF TONNAGE - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was a positive end to the week, with West Australia/China making significant gains and firing owners’ resolve. There was talk ...
Friday, 23 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY'S POTENTIAL ACQUISITION OF STANMORE CREDIT POSITIVE - FITCH RATINGS
Golden Energy and Resources Limited's (GEAR, B+/Positive) potential acquisition of Stanmore Coal will help the company diversify its coal opera ...
Friday, 23 November 18
ASSOCIATION CALLS FOR REVISION OF DMO SCHEME FOR COAL - JP
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) has called on the government to revise the domestic market obligation (DMO) scheme for coal, which re ...
Friday, 23 November 18
INDONESIA'S REVENUES FROM MINERAL AND COAL INCREASE TO US$ 2.858 BILLION - ANTARA
Indonesia`s non-tax state revenues from the mineral and coal sub-sector reached Rp 41.77 trillion (approximately US$ 2.858 Billion) as of Nov 16, 2 ...
Thursday, 22 November 18
SHUT OUT OF CHINA, U.S. COAL EXPORTERS FIND FAVOUR IN INDIA, FOR NOW - REUTERS
U.S. coal exporters have effectively lost a promising market in China since the imposition of tariffs as part of the ongoing trade dispute, but so ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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