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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 18 November 18
COAL STOCKS IN A THIRD OF NTPC PLANTS CLOSE TO NIL - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal supply shortage continues to haunt NTPC, the country’s largest power generator, with latest government data showing 31% of the company&r ...
Thursday, 15 November 18
OIL MARKET REPORT: HEEDING THE WARNINGS - IEA
In last month’s Report, we noted that since the middle of the year oil supply had increased sharply, with gains in the Middle East, Russia an ...
Wednesday, 14 November 18
BIMCO ADOPTS 2020 BUNKER CLAUSES
BIMCO has developed two 2020 bunker clauses that deal with general compliance and the transitional period for an early December release.
...
Wednesday, 14 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The shipping industry is going through an interesting period across all markets. Since the end of last year, the Dry Baltic Index has been showing ...
Tuesday, 13 November 18
INDIA: POWER DEMAND UP; COAL STOCKS AT MINES AT A 5-YEAR LOW - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Stocks at Coal India mines plunged to a five-year low of 21 million tonne (mt) in October, as a sudden surge in demand for the fuel from the power ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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