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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 12 November 18
COAL BUSINESS REMAINS PROSPECTIVE - ANTARA
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Monday, 12 November 18
INDONESIA'S HBA ENDS DECLINE IN NOVEMBER
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Wednesday, 07 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
This has been another active week in the second-hand market for both the dry bulk and tanker sectors. Buying interest has recently increased, which ...
Monday, 05 November 18
TIGHTER FUEL RULES COULD RAISE SHIPOWNERS' COSTS AND CAPEX - FITCH RATINGS
More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase global shipping companies’ operating costs and capex n ...
Friday, 02 November 18
COAL FETCHES 102% PREMIUM IN E-AUCTION, SURPASSING THE EARLIER HIGHEST OF 95% - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal prices have received a premium of 102% in spot e-auction during September 2018, surpassing the earlier highest of 95% premium during the spot ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
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