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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 05 December 18
WORLD COAL PRICES FALL, WITH INDONESIA BENCHMARK FOR DECEMBER, ENDING AT LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 05 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
Is the rise in crude carrier rates driven only by seasonality, or is the recent positive reversal signaling the end of challenging days for the mar ...
Monday, 03 December 18
WCA'S ENGAGEMENT AT COP24 IN KATOWICE - WCA
The 24th Conference of the Parties (COP) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) will take place from the 2-14 December 2018 in K ...
Monday, 03 December 18
SUPRAMAX: FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN TO WEST COAST INDIA, AT $11000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A roller-coaster week for the big ships with hopes soaring at the start for a mini last quarter revival, only to be dashed as the week ...
Sunday, 02 December 18
TRADE WAR LEADING TO HEADWINDS FOR THE FRAGILE DRY BULK RECOVERY - PETER SAND, BIMCO
The first twelve weeks of the 2018/19 marketing year, which started on 1 September 2018, have painted a dire picture for US soya bean exports which ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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