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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.849 MMT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER DOWN 23.44 PERCENT MOM
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading port and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped A$ 1,574.8 mil ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
IN THE EAST, BIGGER SUPRA WAS FIXED CA US$ 10K FOR INDO-CHINA COAL ROUND - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is cautious optimism for the Capes, with healthier volumes and improving rates in the Pacific. West Australia round is gradually ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION IN 2018 EXPECTED TO BE THE LOWEST IN 39 YEARS - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal consumption in 2018 to fall to 691 million short tons (MMst), a 4% decline from 2017 and the lowest level since 1979. U ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings say ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
CHINA REVISES MANAGEMENT RULES ON ESTABLISHMENT OF FULLY FOREIGN-OWNED SHIPPING BUSINESSES - XINHUA
Foreign shipping companies will find it easier to establish wholly-owned subsidiaries in China thanks to a revised regulation due to take effect on ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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