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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1,177,000 METRIC TONS OF COAL FOR Q1' 19 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 701,000 MT of min 5,600 kcal/kg NCV coal and ...
Friday, 14 December 18
COAL IMPORT TO BE CHECKED BY RISING DOMESTIC PRODUCTION - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
The government’s effort to increase domestic coal production and power demand falling with the onset of the winters will check coal imports, ...
Thursday, 13 December 18
STRAITS AFFECTED BY TERRITORIAL DISPUTE BETWEEN SINGAPORE AND MALAYSIA - THE STANDARD CLUB
A recent territorial dispute has occurred between Singapore and Malaysia involving the Straits of Johor.
The Malaysian Attorney Gene ...
Wednesday, 12 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
China’s monthly iron ore imports dropped for the first time this year joined by declines in copper and soybeans as economic growth slows in t ...
Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of& ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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