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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 December 18
TOBA BARA ACQUIRES SHARES OF PT BATU HITAM PERKASA
PT Toba Bara Sejahtra Tbk, through its subsidiary PT Toba Bara Energi (“TBE”), has acquired shares ...
Monday, 17 December 18
SUPRAMAX THERE WAS STRONGER DEMAND FROM SOUTHEAST ASIA, WITH MORE COAL BEING SHIPPED - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to last week after a somewhat uncertain start as some gains made were eroded. Rates recovered later for West Australia/ ...
Monday, 17 December 18
SOUTH KOREA STATE-OWNED UTILITY KOREA EAST-WEST POWER CO. LTD ISSUED A TENDER FOR MAX 3.220 MILLION TONS OF 4200 TO 5900 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea East-West Power Co. Ltd (EWP) issued a tender for max 3,220,000 Metric Tons of coal to be loade ...
Saturday, 15 December 18
COMING CHANGES IN MARINE FUEL SULFUR LIMITS WILL AFFECT GLOBAL OIL MARKETS - EIA
International regulations limiting sulfur in fuels for ocean-going vessels, set to take effect in January 2020, have implications for vessel operat ...
Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,300 kcal/kg NCV coal per ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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