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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL SHIPPING SCOUTS FOR FUTURE GROWTH - PETER SAND, BIMCO
Where do we go to find economic growth that spurs shipping demand in the next five years? According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), we sh ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As another year is coming to an end, it is interesting to look at the main shipping markets and how these performed compared to 2017.
&nb ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL DEMAND WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH 2023, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY SAYS - TOM DICHRISTOPHER, CNBC
Coal consumption is on the rise but will remain roughly stable over the next five years, the International Energy Agency forecasts.
...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
DRY BULK: IN ABSOLUTE TERMS, ALL MAIN SIZE SEGMENTS SAW THEIR ACTUAL VOLATILITY FIGURES DECREASE - ALLIED
Since the beginning of 2016, when the dry bulk market reached its absolute bottom, freight rates have been ever since on an upward trajectory. Taki ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL OUTLOOK BULLISH DESPITE WEAK CHINESE IMPORT DATA - HEREN, ICIS
Coal prices may appreciate over the remainder of 2018 even despite recent data showing falling imports from the world’s largest producer and ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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