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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 16 December 20
CHINA TO BOOST DOMESTIC SUPPLY - FITCH
China’s benchmark Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg coal price rose above the government’s upper yellow interval of CNY600/tonne in early Octobe ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDONESIAN COAL RECOVERING - FITCH
Commenting on Indonesian coal, Fitch Ratings, the Indonesian 4,200 kcal index has begun to recover, improving to over USD 29 in November compared t ...
Tuesday, 15 December 20
NEWCASTLE PRICES RECOVER - FITCH
Prices for the benchmark Newcastle 6,000 kcal/kg grade coal have rebounded to over USD 70/tonne since late November as major Asian economies ease l ...
Tuesday, 15 December 20
APAC COAL PRICES REBOUND ON IMPROVED DEMAND AND SUPPLY CUTS - FITCH RATINGS
Prices for the benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal have rebounded to over USD70/tonne since late November as major Asian economies ease loc ...
Tuesday, 15 December 20
CHINA EXTENDS FULL OPEN GESTURE TO IMPORTED COAL EXCEPT FOR AUSTRALIA - GLOBAL TIMES
Domestic, overseas suppliers will take up share with easier clearance
China's top economic planner on Saturday gave approval to ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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