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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 21 December 20
COAL'S PARTIAL RECOVERY IS SET TO FADE AFTER 2021 - IEA
Global coal consumption is estimated to have fallen by 7%, or over 500 million tonnes, between 2018 in 2020. A decline of this size over a two-year ...
Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global ec ...
Friday, 18 December 20
AUSTRALIA PM WARNS OF ‘LOSE-LOSE’ IN ANY CHINA COAL SHIFT - REUTERS
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said any shift by China away from importing high quality Australian coal would be a “lose-lose&rdquo ...
Friday, 18 December 20
BIG OIL AND COAL EXPORTERS FACE RECKONING AS PARIS AGREEMENT TURNS FIVE - CNA
On Dec 12, more than 70 global leaders came together at the UN’s Climate Ambition Summit, marking the fifth anniversary of the Paris Agreemen ...
Friday, 18 December 20
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL EXPORTERS LARGELY DEPENDENT ON THE ASIAN MARKETS - BANCHERO COSTA
South Africa is the fourth largest exporter of coal in the world, after Australia, Indonesia and Russia. In calendar 2019 the country exported a to ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- VISA Power Limited - India
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Australian Coal Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- The University of Queensland
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