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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 December 20
MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPPING
It is now undisputed that oil consumption for 2020 will post a considerable drop, as demand for several petroleum products has plummeted since the ...
Tuesday, 08 December 20
PANAMAX: THE OVERALL MARKET SEEMS TO BE UNDER NEGATIVE PRESSURE - ALLIED
Capesize
A rather indifferent week for the Capesize market, with BCI 5TC figure finishing the week with slight losses of 0.8%. The Atlantic enj ...
Friday, 04 December 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Friday, 04 December 20
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE REACHES THREE MONTH HIGH ON IMPROVING DEMAND OUTLOOK
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference reaches three month high on improving demand outlook . The Indonesia Coal Price Reference rose by& ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
GLOBAL MINING SECTOR OUTLOOK STABLE DUE TO CHINA'S RECOVERY - FITCH RATINGS
China’s post-pandemic economic recovery and sizeable infrastructure-focused government stimulus boosted global metals and mining prices, help ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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