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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 17 December 20
CHINA'S BAN IS LESS OF A THREAT TO AUSTRALIA'S COAL INDUSTRY THAN INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE AMBITION - IEEFA
Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds
The decision by Ch ...
Thursday, 17 December 20
BUMA SIGNED US$1.0 BILLION WORTH OF EXTENSION CONTRACT WITH BERAU COAL
PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, subsidiary of PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has extended its mining services contracts with PT Berau Coal, in relation ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDONESIA 2020 COAL CONSUMPTION ESTIMATED AT 140-145 MLN TONNES - OFFICIAL, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia’s domestic coal consumption is estimated at 140-145 million tonnes this year, Dodik Ariyanto, an official at the energy ministry, t ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
RUSSIA REVISES DOWN EXPORT EXPECTATION - FITCH
The Ministry of Economy of Russia, the world’s third largest thermal coal exporting country, released its annual forecasts ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDIAN COAL IMPORTS TO REMAIN SUBDUED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Rating commented on Indian Coal Imports, Fitch said, coal imports by Indian utilities fell by about 24% yoy to 44 million tonnes (mt) i ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
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