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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 14 December 20
PHILIPPINE BANK RCBC TO STOP LENDING FOR NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PROJECTS - MANILA BULLETIN
Yuchengco-led Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation (RCBC) has forthrightly declared that it will no longer extend financing to new coal-fired power ...
Sunday, 13 December 20
LONGSTANDING DOWNSIDE RISKS TO TRADE OUTLOOK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The OECD has attempted to put a positive spin on the trade message emanating from its latest economic outlook, released last week.
The ...
Sunday, 13 December 20
INDONESIA COAL OUTPUT AT 514 MILLION TONNES THIS YEAR, 2021 TARGET UNCHANGED - REUTERS
Indonesia coal output in the period to Dec. 10 stood at 514.2 million tonnes, official data from the energy ministry’s website showed.
&n ...
Thursday, 10 December 20
MALAYSIA'S CIMB ANNOUNCES COAL FINANCING PHASE-OUT BY 2040 AS ASIA'S FOSSIL FUEL DIVESTMENT DRIVE ACCELERATES - IEEFA
The first emerging markets bank to announce a progressive coal exit policy
Malaysia’s CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB) has announced ...
Wednesday, 09 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Heading towards the end of a difficult year and with the entire planet under the shadow of the covid-19 virus, it is interesting to proceed with a ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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