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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 08 January 24
KOSPO TO BUY 80000 MT OF INDONESIAN LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL FOR FEB 2024
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for the supply of Indonesian Low Calorific Value Coal from qualified suppliers for Korean ...
Monday, 08 January 24
SEABORNE TRADE REACHES 12.4BN TONNES - CLARKSONS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
Monday, 08 January 24
CAPESIZES START THE NEW YEAR ON POSITIVE NOTE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
This week the capsize market has been marked by a mix of activities and challenges. Despite a slow start following the Christmas and N ...
Friday, 05 January 24
MORGAN STANLEY SEES LOWER OIL PRICES IN 2024 ON OVERSUPPLY CONCERNS - REUTERS
Morgan Stanley sees Brent crude prices anchored near $80 per barrel in the first half in 2024 before declining towards the end of the year as it ex ...
Friday, 05 January 24
INDIA'S COAL OUTPUT RISES NEARLY 11 PC IN DEC TO 92.87 MT - PTI
India’s coal production increased by 10.75 per cent to 92.87 million tonne in December 2023 as compared to the year-ago period, an official s ...
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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