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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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