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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 05 January 24
BANGLADESH’S 2023 COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT TRIPLED, EASING SHORTAGES - REUTERS
Bangladesh nearly tripled its coal-fired power output in 2023, a Reuters analysis of government data showed, helping it tide over the worst power s ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL TRADE CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global coal trade, once concentrated in the Pacific and Atlantic basins, is undergoing a significant transformation, as highlighted in the Inte ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL CARGOES: AVOIDING EXPLOSION AND SELF-HEATING - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Despite its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, global coal consumption climbed to an all-time high in 2022 and is ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
SINOPEC FORECASTS CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK AROUND 2025 - REUTERS
China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec, expects coal consumption to peak around 2025 at 4.37 billion metric tons, the state energy group said in an o ...
Thursday, 07 December 23
CHINA TO SET UP COAL PRODUCTION RESERVE TO STABILISE PRICES - REUTERS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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