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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 25 January 24
THE RED SEA ESCALATION IMPLICATIONS ON GLOBAL SEABORNE TRADE - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In recent days, discussions have intensified about the potential impact on the seaborne trade and ton-miles due to the evolving dynamics of market ...
Thursday, 25 January 24
RED SEA SHIPPING DISRUPTIONS KEEP GEOPOLITICAL PREMIUM FOR COMMODITIES - FITCH RATINGS
Shipping disruptions and re-routing away from the Red Sea will maintain the geopolitical premium in the main commodity markets, including for oil a ...
Friday, 19 January 24
INDONESIA TARGETS 710 MLN METRIC TONS COAL OUTPUT IN 2024 AFTER RECORD 2023 - REUTERS
Indonesia, a major thermal coal exporter, aims to produce 710 million metric tons of coal in 2024, its mining minister said on Monday, after postin ...
Friday, 19 January 24
DRUMMOND COLOMBIA COAL OUTPUT ROSE 7.1% IN 2023 - REUTERS
Coal production from miner Drummond’s Colombia operations rose 7.1% in 2023 to 29.5 million metric tons, while exports declined by 2.6% to 27 ...
Friday, 19 January 24
CHINA'S 2023 COAL OUTPUT HITS RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal output reached a record high in 2023, data from the statistics bureau showed on Wednesday, amid an ongoing focus on energy secur ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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