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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 December 23
COAL MINERS GROUP EXPECTS INDONESIA’S 2023 COAL OUTPUT TO SURPASS TARGET - REUTERS
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) expects the country’s 2023 coal output to surpass the official target of 695 million metric ton ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL IMPORTS TO INDIA IN OCTOBER 2023 REACHED HIGHEST LEVELS IN NEARLY A YEAR AND A HALF - VESSELSVALUE, VESON NAUTICAL
In October, coal imports to India reached 13.8 mt in October 2023, according to Oceanbolt, a Veson Nautical solution, the highest level since May 2 ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL SHIPMENTS TO ADVANCED ECONOMIES DOWN 17% SO FAR IN 2023 - BIMCO
In the first ten months of 2023, coal shipments to advanced economies fell by 17% y/y, as demand for electricity declined and the share of electric ...
Friday, 24 November 23
INTELLIGENT COAL MINES CONTRIBUTE TO IMPROVING SAFETY STANDARDS - CHINA DAILY
Mechanization, automation and intelligent upgrades have contributed to improved safety in coal mines, though the level of development of intelligen ...
Friday, 24 November 23
WHY AUSTRALIA'S COAL MINES ARE GETTING BIGGER - IEEFA
Australia’s largest coal mines are getting larger. Mines in New South Wales (NSW) are ramping up production following the state’s recov ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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