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Tuesday, 18 September 18
COOLING OUTLOOK FOR COAL - KATE JONES
.jpg) At a time of increasing focus on the renewables market as the world seeks to clean up its act to prevent climate change, what is the outlook like for coal? If an August report from Statistics Market Research Consulting (Stratistics MRC) is anything to go by, the answer to that question appears to be, ‘not as bad as one might fear’.
The report, Coal Industry – Global Market Outlook (2017-2026), forecasts the global coal market to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12.5% from 2017 to 2026 — and hit $34.65m by the latter year. An enlarging manufacturing base, rising economic growth and increasing electricity demand are some of the key factors propelling the growth, according to the study, though the report did claim that price instability is restricting market enlargement. Furthermore, the world coal market accounted for $11.93m last year. Based on geography, growth in the market during 2017-2026 is anticipated for the Asia-Pacific region —several nations in the area, such as China and Japan, lack energy resources and are therefore importing to meet requirements.
The world of the product
However, this positive picture stands somewhat alone. At the end of August, it was reported that a push to lessen the development of coal mines, as well as growing investor pressure to divest from fossil fuels, is generating a mining industry division between businesses leaving the sector and companies vowing to stay in it. Banks that have reportedly brought lending for new coal mines to a halt include Deutsche Bank and the Royal Bank of Scotland, while new project spending has dropped 80%, from $10bn in 2012 to $2.2bn this year. This trend, along with a government-led campaign in China to cut supply of domestic coal to reduce pollution, has made the coal price almost double over the last three years — to trade at $113 a tonne.
But some companies are staying in the industry or enlarging their presence. For the world’s biggest miner, BHP, there is confidence in coal’s staying power.
“The world, rightly or wrongly, is going to be using a lot of thermal coal,” claimed Peter Beaven, BHP’s chief financial officer, referring to the kind of coal used in power stations. The company has no plans to sell its coal assets — and neither does the biggest producer of seaborne coal for export globally, Glencore. In fact, Glencore is in expansion mode. This year, it purchased a 49% share in a Yancoal-operated thermal coal project in New South Wales in Australia and bought Rio Tinto’s Hail Creek coal mine in Queensland, also in Australia, for $1.7bn. The company reportedly made $2bn from its coal division in H1 2018, with the business estimating that at current prices, coal will be its largest earnings driver for the full year. Macquarie Group analysts describes the organisation as “slowly stepping into the breach, quietly consolidating its position in an unpopular sub-sector of the mining industry”.
However, not all coal miners have had such good fortune. In March, Rio Tinto sold its last coal mine to EMR Capital and Adaro Energy for $2.25bn, while South32 plans on selling its South African thermal coal assets to local investors later in 2018. South32 chief executive Graham Kerr has reportedly argued that thermal coal is increasingly becoming a focus of meetings with investors.
“Every six months, they tell you they can’t invest in you,” he noted.
What’s more, coal could soon find itself eclipsed by renewables. Fitch Solutions said at the end of August that renewable energy will play an increasingly important role in powering mining operations across the globe over the coming years, while Alexa Capital co-founder Gerard Reid has said that because wind and solar power have already become less expensive than coal-fired power in many parts of the world, a renewables move could happen faster than many believe.
The mixed messages mirror the division among investors and analysts over coal: while both the Church of England Pensions Board and BMO Global Asset Management have both turned away from supporting coal, Norway’s $1tr sovereign wealth fund (which owns Glencore shares), has said it would only exclude companies “which themselves, or through entities they control, derive 30% or more of their income from thermal coal”.
Area focus
Yet, Stratistics MRC’s prediction of Asia-Pacific coal market growth resonates with other indicators for the field. BP predicted that coal would likely stay the dominant energy source in Asia as late as 2040, while the Australian Bureau of Statistics said that Australia’s coal mining industry increased capital expenditure by 20% in 2017-18 to $3.5bn. However, analysts are split on how fast the planet’s largest coal consumer, China, will move away from the commodity. According to official figures, its coal consumption went up just 0.4% last year.
However, BHP, despite feeling that coal is set to “progressively lose competitiveness to renewables on a newbuild basis in the developed world and in China”, predicts that the crossover point will not be reached until the end of the next decade and says that coal power “is expected to retain competitiveness in India and other populous emerging markets for a much-longer time”.
As for the US, it was reported at the end of last month that US President Donald Trump was pushing forward with his endeavours to revive the US coal mining sector and that the Environmental Protection Agency claimed it was planning to repeal previous president Barack Obama’s Clean Power Plan, relaxing coal-fired power plant regulation. US coal miners like Peabody will no doubt be pleased by this shift in emphasis — its shares are up by 7% in the year to date, having reportedly been boosted by President Trump’s coal-supporting efforts.
Source: The Baltic Briefing
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Monday, 08 October 18
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 520,000 TONS OF COLOMBIAN ORIGIN OF 5,700 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Colombian origin ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO-INDIA USUAL COAL RUNS WERE COVERED AT US$ 12K - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earnings up close to 15 pct in 5 trading days, thus patience finally paying off for owners of the big ships - Chinese play ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
A CASE FOR 20/20 VISION? IMO'S LOW SULPHUR FUEL LIMIT UNDER MARPOL ANNEX VI WHICH COMES INTO FORCE ON 1ST JANUARY 2020
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The implementation of the global 0.5% sulphur cap for bunker fuel under MARPOL Annex VI in just under 18 months’ ti ...
Friday, 05 October 18
COAL PRODUCTION REACHES 64% OF 2018 TARGET : THE JAKARTA POST
National coal production up to August has already reached 311 million tons, or 64 percent of this year's total target of 485 million tons, acco ...
Wednesday, 03 October 18
VALUE OF AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS TIPPED TO DECLINE SHARPLY OVER NEXT 18 MONTHS - THE GUARDIAN
Thermal coal prices forecast to drop 25% and metallurgical coal prices 23% as value of iron ore exports also falls
The value of Aust ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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