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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIG CHINESE COPPER PROCESSORS DEFEND MARGINS THROUGH R&D, SAYS FITCH
Large Chinese copper processors are focusing on higher value-added products and investing in R&D to enhance their technical know-how to maintai ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIMCO LAUNCHES ANTI-CORRUPTION CLAUSE FOR SHIPPING CONTRACTS WORLDWIDE
COALspot.com: BIMCO, is the world’s largest international shipping association, with 2,200 members in around 130 countries, has now launched ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE VASTARDIS
We have already noticed obvious signs of activity mainly West of Suez, which are currently driving the clean MR market to higher levels. Over the p ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL SUPPLY PRESSURE PUTS INDONESIAN HBA IN FREE FALL
The coal industry is slowly recognizing that, the current coal price level is not a decrease in price, but a change in pricing to corresp ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL PRICES SET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE UNTIL 2016 DUE TO OVER SUPPLY GLUT; H1 '16 COAL SWAPS DOWN 13% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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