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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Monday, 30 November 15
ASSOCARBONI LOOKS AT COAL FROM A DIFFERENT ANGLE
ASSOCARBONI is in favour of an international mechanism to provide financial support to countries building high efficiency low emission coal plants. ...
Monday, 30 November 15
CS 5000 GAR COAL INDEX FIRM D-O-D; WEAK W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index up slightly day over day.
According to the system generated index, the CS 50 (5000 GAR coal) was ...
Monday, 30 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAINED UNCHANGED FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 4.50 (9.78%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 29 November 15
CAPE INDEX SURGES 383 POINTS WEEK OVER WEEK, BOOSTS BALTIC DRY INDEX
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping rates, fell to 498 points on 20 November and touched a 30-year low, but on 27 November th ...
Friday, 27 November 15
INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEEK ENDING 20 NOVEMBER CLOSED HIGHER COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and up on week over week. Coal prices seen slight improvements thi ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Planning Commission, India
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