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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a seco ...
Friday, 20 November 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOVEMBER '14; NO CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.5 million shor ...
Friday, 20 November 15
NO IMPROVEMENT SEEN IN NEAR-TERM COAL DEMAND; SWAPS CLOSE LOWER
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and flat on week over week. Price of coal seen no improvements this ...
Friday, 20 November 15
CHANGING CRUDE SUPPLY TRENDS MAY HELP EUROPEAN REFINERS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Changes in global oil supply trends, including high Russian production, the expected renewal of Iranian heavy crude exports and the p ...
Thursday, 19 November 15
CHINA STEEL PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO PEAK IN 2016 - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings today says that China's steel production capacity is likely to peak in 2016, with capacity elimination over the nex ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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